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Ramble

Report · October 2026

How music gear gets lost, stolen and broken: the numbers

Police recorded 11,195 musical instrument thefts in 2025 and recovered an instrument in 8% of them. Here are the theft, airline and home numbers from US government data, with what each one measures.

  • 11,195

    Police recorded 11,195 thefts of musical instruments in 2025, about 31 a day.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025

  • 8%

    Police recovered an instrument in 8% of the instrument thefts they recorded in 2025.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025

  • 1 in 8

    One in eight instrument thefts happened at a rental storage facility, against about 1 in 85 of all burglaries and larcenies.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025; FBI NIBRS Table 18, 2025

  • 4.7%

    One in five instrument thefts was from a vehicle, and only 4.7% of those instruments were recovered, the lowest of any kind of theft.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025

  • $800

    The typical instrument theft took $800 of gear, and 42% took more than $1,000.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025 (median police-estimated value)

  • 354

    Police recorded 354 instrument thefts at churches, synagogues, temples and mosques in 2025, nearly one a day.

    Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025

  • 3 in 4

    Three in four household thefts in 2024 were never reported to the police.

    Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics, Criminal Victimization, 2024, Table 4

  • 1 in 200

    US airlines mishandled 2.3 million checked bags in the year to June 2026, about 1 in every 200 they carried.

    Source: US Department of Transportation, Air Travel Consumer Report, Feb and Aug 2026

01 Theft

How many instruments are stolen

Police recorded 11,195 thefts of musical instruments in 2025, about 31 a day. The count comes from the FBI's National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), where police agencies file a record of each crime, including what was taken and what they think it was worth. Agencies sending NIBRS data covered nearly 90% of the US population in 2025.

A theft here is one crime. A burglar who takes three guitars and an amp is one theft. The count leaves out thefts nobody reported, so the real number is higher.

Police put the value of the instruments stolen in 2025 at $23.5 million, not counting 8 reports of $100,000 or more. The typical theft took $800 of gear. In 42% of thefts it was more than $1,000, and in one in ten it was $5,000 or more.

Reported thefts fell from 12,447 in 2023 to 11,195 in 2025, even as more police agencies joined NIBRS. Property crime as a whole fell 12.4% in 2025, according to the FBI.

Instrument thefts recorded by police

Thefts with a Musical Instruments record, all 50 states and DC. More police agencies joined NIBRS each year.

  • 2023

    12,447

  • 2024

    11,709

  • 2025

    11,195

Instrument thefts by month

2025, by the date of the theft. May was the highest month in 2023, 2024 and 2025.

  1. Jan: 999 thefts
  2. Feb: 870 thefts
  3. Mar: 931 thefts
  4. Apr: 944 thefts
  5. May: 1,080 thefts
  6. Jun: 906 thefts
  7. Jul: 971 thefts
  8. Aug: 993 thefts
  9. Sep: 884 thefts
  10. Oct: 1,028 thefts
  11. Nov: 804 thefts
  12. Dec: 785 thefts

02 Where

Where instruments are stolen

Two in five instrument thefts in 2025 happened at a home. Next came streets and parking lots (15%), rental storage units (13%) and stores (12%), which are mostly shops losing stock.

Storage units stand out. Across all burglaries and larcenies in 2025, about 1 in 85 happened at a rental storage facility (FBI NIBRS Table 18). For instruments it was 1 in 8.

One in five instrument thefts was from a vehicle, about the same share as for thefts of anything. Those instruments came back least often: police recovered 4.7% of them.

Police recorded 354 instrument thefts at churches, synagogues, temples and mosques, nearly one a day, and 430 at schools and colleges. Bars, restaurants and venues (185) and hotels (133) were less common.

Where instruments were stolen

Share of 2025 instrument thefts, by the type of place police recorded. Median value stolen under each place.

  • Home

    Median $600

    40.9%

  • Street, road or parking lot

    Median $739

    14.9%

  • Rental storage unit

    Median $900

    13.1%

  • Store or shopping center

    Mostly shops losing stock. Median $1,700

    12.0%

  • Office, public or other building

    Median $812

    5.1%

  • Other or unknown

    4.1%

  • School or college

    Median $950

    3.8%

  • Church, synagogue, temple or mosque

    Median $1,000

    3.2%

  • Bar, restaurant or venue

    Median $720

    1.7%

  • Hotel or motel

    Median $500

    1.2%

How instruments were taken

Share of 2025 instrument thefts, by the offense police recorded.

  • Burglary

    Someone entered a home or building to steal

    38.1%

  • Other theft

    21.0%

  • Theft from a vehicle

    19.4%

  • Shoplifting

    8.9%

  • Theft from a building

    8.3%

  • Vehicle stolen with the instrument inside

    1.8%

  • Fraud

    1.5%

  • Robbery

    Taken by force or threat

    0.7%

03 Recovery

How often stolen instruments come back

Police recovered an instrument in 8% of the thefts they recorded in 2025, and about 7% of the value stolen came back. The rate was 7.5% in 2024 and 7.6% in 2023.

When an instrument did come back, it was usually soon. Half of recoveries came within two days of the theft, and 68% within a week. That's why the first day matters: report it, get the serial number on the police report, and post it where local buyers will see it. The stolen gear guide walks through each step.

You may have read that a million instruments are stolen in the US every year and 3% are recovered. That figure has no official source. It appears in a 2016 press release for an anti-theft device, and earlier in a 2003 article quoting a maker of instrument tracking tags. Police record about 11,000 to 12,500 instrument thefts a year. Even if three in four thefts went unreported, the total would be under 50,000.

Share of thefts where police recovered an instrument

2025, by how the instrument was taken.

  • Shoplifting

    15.4%

  • Theft from a building

    9.3%

  • Other theft

    8.2%

  • All thefts

    8.0%

  • Burglary

    7.0%

  • Theft from a vehicle

    4.7%

04 Unreported

Most thefts never reach the police

The Bureau of Justice Statistics runs the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which asks households whether they were victims of crime, whether or not they told the police.

In 2024, households reported 25% of thefts, 41% of burglaries and 75% of vehicle thefts to the police. That left about 7.9 million household thefts that never reached a police record. The survey doesn't ask what was taken, so there's no reporting rate for instruments alone.

Reporting a theft is also how a recovered instrument finds its way home: police can only match a serial number to a report that exists.

Share of crimes reported to the police

2024, from the National Crime Victimization Survey, which asks households about crimes whether or not they told the police.

  • Motor vehicle theft

    75.0%

  • Burglary

    40.7%

  • All property crime

    30.5%

  • Household theft

    Theft without contact, such as from a yard, porch or car

    25.4%

05 Airlines and moving

What happens to gear in transit

US airlines mishandled 2,322,133 checked bags from July 2025 to June 2026, about 1 in every 200 they carried, according to the Department of Transportation. Mishandled means lost, delayed, damaged or stolen. The DOT doesn't separate them, and it has no category for instruments.

Rates vary by airline. In the first half of 2026, United and American mishandled about 0.7 of every 100 bags, more than five times Allegiant's 0.12.

Since 2015, federal rules have required US airlines to let a small instrument such as a guitar or violin fly as a carry-on if it fits in the bin or under a seat and there's room when you board. A larger instrument can fly in a seat you buy for it. The flying guide covers what to do at the gate.

Few people take a complaint to the government. For every baggage complaint the DOT received in early 2026, airlines reported about 270 mishandled bags.

Checked bags mishandled per 100, by airline

January to June 2026, US airlines and their regional partners. Mishandled means lost, delayed, damaged or stolen.

  • Allegiant

    0.12

  • JetBlue

    0.31

  • Southwest

    0.32

  • Delta

    0.37

  • Spirit

    0.47

  • All US airlines

    0.50

  • Frontier

    0.51

  • Alaska, with Hawaiian

    0.53

  • American

    0.67

  • United

    0.69

The most someone else has to pay when they carry your gear

US airline, domestic flight
$4,700
The lowest an airline may cap its liability at for everything one passenger checked, since 22 January 2025. 14 CFR 254.4, domestic baggage liability
Airline, international trip
About $2,056
1,519 Special Drawing Rights per passenger under the Montreal Convention, since 28 December 2024. 2024 Revised Limits of Liability Under the Montreal Convention 1999
Interstate mover, released value
60 cents a pound
About $4.80 for an 8 lb cased guitar if you sign for released value. Items worth over $100 a pound must be listed in writing. 49 CFR Part 375, Your Rights and Responsibilities When You Move

06 Home

Fire, water and dry air at home

Fire and flood records count homes, not what was inside them, so there's no figure for instruments. Most homeowners and renters policies don't cover flood damage, according to FEMA.

Dry winter air cracks wooden instruments. Martin and Taylor recommend keeping guitars at 45% to 55% relative humidity. January air heated to 70°F starts at about 9% in Minneapolis and 16% in New York, by Ramble's calculation from NOAA climate normals, before cooking, showers or a humidifier add moisture.

Residential building fires in 2023, with $11.3 billion in losses to buildings and contents.
344,600
US Fire Administration (FEMA)
Flood insurance claims from 2014 to 2024 that came from outside high-risk flood areas.
1 in 3
FEMA, National Flood Insurance Program
Relative humidity of Chicago's January air once it's heated to 70°F. Martin and Taylor recommend 45% to 55% for guitars.
14%
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Renter households that reported paying nothing for renters insurance in 2023. Some of them have insurance included in the rent.
50.5%
US Census Bureau and HUD

07 What you can do

What you can do

  1. 1

    Write down serial numbers and take photos now

    Police can only match a recovered instrument to a report with a serial number on it. Of 17,839 items Ramble members have cataloged, only 2.8% have a serial number recorded (Ramble's own catalog data, aggregate, October 2026).

  2. 2

    Don't leave gear in a parked car

    Instruments stolen from vehicles were the least likely to come back. A car in the sun on a 100°F day averages 116°F inside after an hour, past the 105°F that Taylor says can severely damage a guitar.

  3. 3

    Check what a storage unit really protects

    One in eight instrument thefts happened at a storage facility. Ask about cameras and gate logs, and check what your policy pays for things kept there. The coverage checker shows what a standard policy covers.

  4. 4

    If something is stolen, report it the same day

    Most recoveries happen within a week of the theft. Give the police the serial number, and tell local pawn shops and marketplaces. The stolen gear guide lists who to tell in the first 24 hours.

  5. 5

    Know the airline rules before you fly

    You can carry a guitar or violin on if there's room in the bin, and an airline's liability for checked bags can be as low as $4,700. The flying guide covers the gate, the seat and what to do if it's damaged.

  6. 6

    Keep wooden instruments at 45% to 55% humidity in winter

    A room humidifier or a case humidifier and a cheap hygrometer will tell you where you stand.

  7. 7

    Know what your gear is worth

    The Ramble gear index shows what musicians declare their gear is worth, by type, brand and model.

08 Method

How we counted

Data
The FBI's NIBRS incident files for every state and DC, 2023 to 2025, downloaded from the Crime Data Explorer on 10 Oct 2026. The 2025 files are dated 1 May 2026.
What counts as a theft
An incident with a property record of type Musical Instruments marked stolen. Several instruments taken in one crime are one theft.
Recovery
A theft counts as recovered when police added a Musical Instruments record marked recovered to the same incident. Recoveries logged later against an old incident may be missing.
Values
Police estimates. Values of $1 or less mean unknown and are left out. Totals leave out the 8 reports of $100,000 or more in 2025, which include round placeholder values.
Places and offenses
When one incident has several offenses, it's counted once, under the first of burglary, theft from a vehicle, vehicle theft, robbery, shoplifting, theft from a building, fraud and other theft, at that offense's place.
Coverage
NIBRS agencies covered nearly 90% of the US population in 2025, and more agencies joined each year. Counts are what those agencies recorded, not national estimates.
Check
Jacob Kaplan's NIBRS guide counts 12,467 stolen Musical Instruments records in 2023. This method finds 12,447 thefts, within 0.2%.
Limits
No make, model or owner. Nothing that wasn't reported. Stores and schools appear alongside musicians.

09 Sources

Sources

  1. NIBRS incident data by state, 2023, 2024 and 2025

    FBI, National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS). Property type 58, Musical Instruments; Ramble's computation from all 51 state and DC files. 2023 to 2025.

    Thefts police recorded at agencies that send NIBRS data, which covered nearly 90% of the US population in 2025. Counts thefts, not instruments: several instruments taken together are one theft. Values are police estimates. No make or model, and nothing that wasn't reported.

  2. NIBRS tables, 2025

    FBI, NIBRS. Table 18, Crimes Against Property Offenses, Offense Category by Location; Table 40, Offense Type by Agency. 2025.

    All burglaries and larcenies recorded at NIBRS agencies, by type of place and type of theft. Not national estimates.

  3. Summary of Reported Crimes in the Nation, 2025

    FBI, Uniform Crime Reporting Program. CIUS Table 1. 2025.

    National estimates of crimes known to police. Doesn't count crimes nobody reported.

  4. Criminal Victimization, 2024 (NCJ 310547)

    Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS). Table 2 and Table 4. 2024.

    A survey of US households, the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which counts crimes whether or not anyone told the police. Doesn't break theft down by the item taken.

  5. Air Travel Consumer Report, February and August 2026

    US Department of Transportation. Mishandled baggage rankings (year to date); complaint Tables 2 and 3. July 2025 to June 2026.

    Checked bags reported lost, delayed, damaged or stolen on domestic flights of the largest US airlines. Doesn't split delay from damage, and has no category for instruments.

  6. 14 CFR Part 251, carriage of musical instruments

    US Department of Transportation. Sections 251.3 to 251.5. In force since 6 March 2015.

    When US airlines must let an instrument fly as a carry-on, in a bought seat or as a checked bag.

  7. 14 CFR 254.4, domestic baggage liability

    US Department of Transportation. 89 FR 84815 (24 Oct 2024), in force 22 January 2025. Since 22 January 2025.

    The lowest amount a US airline may limit its liability to for a passenger's lost, damaged or delayed bags on a domestic flight.

  8. 2024 Revised Limits of Liability Under the Montreal Convention 1999

    International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). Article 22(2), baggage. Since 28 December 2024.

    The cap on an airline's baggage liability on international trips: 1,519 Special Drawing Rights, about $2,056 at the IMF rate on 9 Oct 2026.

  9. 49 CFR Part 375, Your Rights and Responsibilities When You Move

    Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration. 375.203 and Appendix A. Current.

    What an interstate mover owes for lost or damaged goods if you sign for released value (60 cents a pound) and when items worth over $100 a pound must be listed.

  10. Residential Fire Estimate Summaries, 2014 to 2023

    US Fire Administration (FEMA). National estimates. 2023.

    Residential building fires fire departments responded to, with direct losses to buildings and contents. No breakdown of what was lost.

  11. What is my flood risk

    FEMA, National Flood Insurance Program. FloodSmart. 2014 to 2024.

    Claims paid by the federal flood insurance program, and FEMA's note that most home and renters policies don't cover flood.

  12. American Housing Survey 2023, national public use file

    US Census Bureau and HUD. INSURAMT, weighted; Ramble's computation. 2023.

    Households that report paying a premium for home or renters insurance. $0 can also mean insurance is included in the rent.

  13. U.S. Climate Normals, 1991 to 2020, hourly dew point

    NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Ramble's computation: January outdoor air heated to 70°F. 1991 to 2020 normals.

    How dry outdoor winter air becomes once it's heated indoors, before cooking, showers or a humidifier add moisture. A baseline, not a reading from inside a home.

  14. Martin Care & Feeding Guide (2022); Taylor guitar care posts (2024)

    C. F. Martin and Taylor Guitars (not a government source). Humidity and temperature guidance. 2022 to 2024.

    What the makers recommend: 45% to 55% relative humidity; Taylor warns that freezing and heat over 105°F can severely damage a guitar.

  15. Vanos et al., Temperature (24 May 2018)

    Arizona State University and UC San Diego (not a government source). Parked cars on 100°F days. 2018.

    Cabin air and surface temperatures in parked cars. Doesn't measure inside a closed case or a trunk.

  16. Ramble's own catalog data, aggregate

    Ramble (not a government source). Items Ramble members have cataloged, and how many have a serial number recorded. As of 10 Oct 2026.

    A count across all cataloged items: 503 of 17,839 (2.8%) have a serial number recorded. Members who catalog gear may differ from musicians in general. No individual's data.

10 Citing

Use these numbers

Cite the police figures as a Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, with a link to this page. The CSV has every figure with its source.

Source: Ramble analysis of FBI NIBRS data, 2025 (therambleco.com/gear-risk-report).

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